Fears Mugabe may not cede power as Tsvangirai gains popularity
Published: 2013 July 27 07:57:32 (5051 Views)
Zimbabwe president Robert Mugabe is apparently beginning to send out mixed signals about whether he will tolerate the outcome of the elections he himself picked to be held July 31.
Mugabe, who has ruled Zimbabwe for the past 33 years, has begun to speak openly about Zimbabwe needing only "one party."
At Mugabe's rally on July 23 in the city of Mutare, about 150 miles southeast of the capital Harare, he ridiculed his main opponent, Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai, in terms that set off fears that Mugabe will not hand over power even if he loses the elections.
The polls are now favoring Mr. Tsvangirai, a former trade union leader who now sits in an unequal "coalition" government with the long time ruler. Mugabe is now 89.
In Mutare, in front of thousands of supporters, Mugabe said his rival Tsvangirai was "a coward like my Uncle Shoniwa's dog, Sekahurema, which used to run away from game when we were hunting."
Mugabe went on to say, "That stupid dog died without killing a single prey, and the same will happen to Tsvangirai."
Some Zimbabweans read the statements by Mugabe – and those recently of his security chiefs – as new hints that they might not cede power to Tsvangirai and his organization in the event of a loss.
Top army, police, and spy personnel have, in the run-up to the elections, openly supported Mugabe's candidacy, and a number of them have campaigned for the veteran leader.
A senior intelligence official revealed to a reporter recently that some security groups wanted to "block Tsvangirai by any means necessary, because he is an agent of the West and wants to reverse the gains of our independence."
Speaking to the BBC in London three months ago, Justice Minister Patrick Chinamasa confirmed the Army will wait on their wings to wrestle power from Tsvangirai if he wins.
As Mr. Chinamasa put it: "Now if anyone is going to say, 'When I come into power I'm going to reverse that,' they [the military] have every right to say, 'Please, you are asking for trouble.' You will be asking for trouble."
Chinamasa continued on this line in the BBC interview: "He [Tsvangirai] will be asking for trouble [if he] seeks to reverse the land reform program. There is no one who is going to accept any enslavement."
Later, Zimbabwe's top justice official seemed to imply that other countries were making it possible for Mugabe to lose: "And if those countries impose for him [Tsvangirai] to win, that result will not be acceptable. We will not accept it. We will just not accept it. Isn't that clear?"
The opposition party's organising secretary, Nelson Chamisa, says that while he is aware of rumours and plans to seize power by force, his MDC party is confident that the police and Army will respect the constitution.
"It is something we have heard for a long time, but as a party we believe people will follow the constitution. Leaders are delivered by the people and that must be respected. The people of Zimbabwe want change and come the 6th of August we are ready to govern," says Mr. Chamisa, referring to the date of an ostensible handover, should Tsvangirai win.
Unlike in the past where campaigning in Zimbabwe took place strictly through gatherings and political rallies, the current campaign landscape has greatly changed. A more independent press, particularly in print, includes more than 10 newspapers.
A private television station was established in neighbouring South Africa two weeks ago for the first time since independence, although most Zimbabweans still receive their news from state-run channels.
The Zimbabwe Broadcasting Corporation (ZBC) – a state broadcaster – enjoys a monopoly within Zimbabwe and mostly airs Mugabe's rhetoric and positions.
Yet the biggest unexpected impact as elections approach in a country of 13 million, comes from social media, where a fictional Facebook character called Baba Jukwa has taken the country by storm.
Baba Jukwa has been pumping out material on the indiscretions and inside politics among ZANU PF bigwigs in Harare to great attention.
Since joining Facebook in March, "Baba Jukwa" has collected nearly 300,000 followers.
Baba Jukwa, claims to be a former member of Mugabe's ZANU PF party, and says he (or she) is a "Concerned father, fighting nepotism and directly linking community with their Leaders, Government, MPs and Ministers."
ZANU PF minister Saviour Kasukuwere last month admitted to the local media that Baba's posts "had greatly affected his family" after Baba Jukwa accused him of carrying out assassinations on political opponents. Mugabe has allegedly put $300,000 on the head of Baba Jukwa for revealing state secrets.
- CSMonitor
Mugabe, who has ruled Zimbabwe for the past 33 years, has begun to speak openly about Zimbabwe needing only "one party."
At Mugabe's rally on July 23 in the city of Mutare, about 150 miles southeast of the capital Harare, he ridiculed his main opponent, Prime Minister Morgan Tsvangirai, in terms that set off fears that Mugabe will not hand over power even if he loses the elections.
The polls are now favoring Mr. Tsvangirai, a former trade union leader who now sits in an unequal "coalition" government with the long time ruler. Mugabe is now 89.
In Mutare, in front of thousands of supporters, Mugabe said his rival Tsvangirai was "a coward like my Uncle Shoniwa's dog, Sekahurema, which used to run away from game when we were hunting."
Mugabe went on to say, "That stupid dog died without killing a single prey, and the same will happen to Tsvangirai."
Some Zimbabweans read the statements by Mugabe – and those recently of his security chiefs – as new hints that they might not cede power to Tsvangirai and his organization in the event of a loss.
Top army, police, and spy personnel have, in the run-up to the elections, openly supported Mugabe's candidacy, and a number of them have campaigned for the veteran leader.
A senior intelligence official revealed to a reporter recently that some security groups wanted to "block Tsvangirai by any means necessary, because he is an agent of the West and wants to reverse the gains of our independence."
Speaking to the BBC in London three months ago, Justice Minister Patrick Chinamasa confirmed the Army will wait on their wings to wrestle power from Tsvangirai if he wins.
As Mr. Chinamasa put it: "Now if anyone is going to say, 'When I come into power I'm going to reverse that,' they [the military] have every right to say, 'Please, you are asking for trouble.' You will be asking for trouble."
Chinamasa continued on this line in the BBC interview: "He [Tsvangirai] will be asking for trouble [if he] seeks to reverse the land reform program. There is no one who is going to accept any enslavement."
Later, Zimbabwe's top justice official seemed to imply that other countries were making it possible for Mugabe to lose: "And if those countries impose for him [Tsvangirai] to win, that result will not be acceptable. We will not accept it. We will just not accept it. Isn't that clear?"
The opposition party's organising secretary, Nelson Chamisa, says that while he is aware of rumours and plans to seize power by force, his MDC party is confident that the police and Army will respect the constitution.
"It is something we have heard for a long time, but as a party we believe people will follow the constitution. Leaders are delivered by the people and that must be respected. The people of Zimbabwe want change and come the 6th of August we are ready to govern," says Mr. Chamisa, referring to the date of an ostensible handover, should Tsvangirai win.
Unlike in the past where campaigning in Zimbabwe took place strictly through gatherings and political rallies, the current campaign landscape has greatly changed. A more independent press, particularly in print, includes more than 10 newspapers.
A private television station was established in neighbouring South Africa two weeks ago for the first time since independence, although most Zimbabweans still receive their news from state-run channels.
The Zimbabwe Broadcasting Corporation (ZBC) – a state broadcaster – enjoys a monopoly within Zimbabwe and mostly airs Mugabe's rhetoric and positions.
Yet the biggest unexpected impact as elections approach in a country of 13 million, comes from social media, where a fictional Facebook character called Baba Jukwa has taken the country by storm.
Baba Jukwa has been pumping out material on the indiscretions and inside politics among ZANU PF bigwigs in Harare to great attention.
Since joining Facebook in March, "Baba Jukwa" has collected nearly 300,000 followers.
Baba Jukwa, claims to be a former member of Mugabe's ZANU PF party, and says he (or she) is a "Concerned father, fighting nepotism and directly linking community with their Leaders, Government, MPs and Ministers."
ZANU PF minister Saviour Kasukuwere last month admitted to the local media that Baba's posts "had greatly affected his family" after Baba Jukwa accused him of carrying out assassinations on political opponents. Mugabe has allegedly put $300,000 on the head of Baba Jukwa for revealing state secrets.
- CSMonitor
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